Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
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In the last decade, nondemocratic regimes have received more development assistance than democratic countries. This reveals how donors struggle with autocratization despite a rhetorical commitment to democracy.
The United States bears a great deal of the responsibility for the situation in Afghanistan, but the EU should also reflect on how its overly narrow conception of democracy contributed to the shortcomings of Afghan reconstruction efforts.
One major pillar of the international community’s diplomatic and development engagement in Afghanistan over the past two decades centered on strengthening subnational governance.
Most anti-state revolts across the Indian subcontinent have now been crushed, demobilized, or contained. Yet beneath that surface, state coercive power remains contested.
The only solution to the Afghan conflict is a political one. An open-minded approach by India can help secure the gains of the previous fifteen years.
Regional actors like China, India, and Pakistan can cooperate effectively through multilateral platforms to promote reconstruction efforts in Afghanistan.
Jihadist groups operating in Central Asia pose a real threat, but they are not the only or even the primary danger facing the region’s regimes.
Russia should not treat the post-2014 situation in Afghanistan as a potential disaster for its security in the south. Nevertheless, the coalition withdrawal from Afghanistan will force Russia to take more responsibility for regional security.
The upcoming election in Afghanistan marks neither the end of a long post-Taliban transition nor a crucial turning point for the troubled country.
2014 will be a year of transition in South Asia. National elections in Afghanistan, India, and Bangladesh will affect both regional stability and international security.