Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
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The world can be an awfully dangerous and unpredictable place.
With intensifying international pressure to end hostilities, a brief lull in fighting currently prevails in Gaza. But a formal ceasefire between Israel and Hamas has proven elusive.
The longer Washington puts forward half measures on the peace process, the more damage is done to its interests and reputation in the Arab world.
A two-state solution will soon be impossible. Despite the difficulties, the United States needs to make a major effort to find a solution—the costs of waiting are much too great.
While the Palestinians enjoy broad international support for their statehood bid, there are concerns that a UN vote could inflame tensions and ignite violence at a time of regional upheaval.
A regional approach that pushes for peace between Israel and the entire Arab world will become unavoidable if a bilateral solution between Israel and Palestine is no longer possible.
With little chance for a breakthrough in Israeli–Palestinian direct talks, the best hope for the Middle East is a regional approach that secures peace between Israel and the entire Arab world.
The recent flotilla incident is the culmination of a steep decline in Israeli-Turkish relations that started with the Gaza war in 2008 and 2009.
Israel’s raid on a flotilla of humanitarian aid has refocused global attention on Gaza’s isolation. Israel’s action have helped Hamas, and the group is now operating from a position of greater strength.
Following U.S. pressure and a message of support from the Arab League, indirect talks between Israeli and Palestinian leaders are set to begin this week. In spite of U.S. efforts, however, the talks are unlikely to lead to a breakthrough.