Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
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Climate change in the Middle East will amplify preexisting vulnerabilities stemming from conflict, displacement, marginalization, and corruption, while also creating new risks. Governments in the region will need to adopt more inclusive reforms as part of their climate adaptation strategies.
Financial crises are threatening the stability of Egypt, Tunisia, and Lebanon. Despite a rare alignment of elements conducive to change, reforming the economy will still be politically challenging.
Pouring money into Kais Saied’s increasingly repressive regime will not solve Tunisia’s migration problem. Rather, it could lead to instability and a further exodus of people to Europe.
Egypt’s and Tunisia’s dependency on outside funding has led them to become peripheral in the global economy and in Middle Eastern and North African geopolitics.
Until conditions allow for the right combination of elements to help the country reverse course, the United States and the international community must use consistent, behind-the-scenes support to make sure Tunisia does not sink deeper into autocratization.
Join Carnegie’s Frederic Wehrey as he sits down with Lisa Anderson, Bessma Momani, Michael Robbins, and Sultan Alamer to discuss the current and looming challenges facing the MENA region.
Washington may be tempted to give up after Tunis’s democratic backsliding, but instead it should use targeted actions that have worked in other countries.
Spot analysis from Carnegie scholars on events relating to the Middle East and North Africa.
Serbia leveraged migrating Tunisians to pressure the EU, until closing the route last November. Yet other countries will continue to use migrants to gain advantage over Europe until a common system is developed.
Tunisia is in the process of negotiating a much needed loan from the IMF.