Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
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By revamping its social protection system, Lebanon could address its current economic crisis and restore public trust in the government.
Financial crises are threatening the stability of Egypt, Tunisia, and Lebanon. Despite a rare alignment of elements conducive to change, reforming the economy will still be politically challenging.
Despite some recent democratic gains, it is too early to declare that the global democratic recession is over. Overcoming the deep roots of democracy’s global woes will require sustained efforts by the United States and many other democracies to address a myriad of continuing challenges
Because of its reliance on the Gulf region for much of its oil and gas, China has a strong interest in preserving security in the region, an early example of which was its mediation of the recent Saudi Arabia-Iran reconciliation.
Egypt’s and Tunisia’s dependency on outside funding has led them to become peripheral in the global economy and in Middle Eastern and North African geopolitics.
The border crossings figure prominently in Iran’s strategy to ensure its control over Iraq. But despite the Iraqi population’s desire to distance itself from Iran, it is unlikely that the government will engage in border crossing reform anytime soon.
A decade and a half of constant crises has gradually restructured the power dynamics in the EU institutions. The European Commission is now in the driver’s seat.
The February earthquake has accelerated recent trends of diplomatic engagement with Syria. The West should press for policy outcomes to improve the lives of millions of Syrians while ensuring aid flows to devastated areas.
Russia’s hybrid attacks have strengthened Ukraine’s social cohesion and public resolve. To further enhance Ukrainian resilience, the EU should share best practices, expand sanctions, and support the country’s democratic reforms.
As the conflict in Yemen continues, one lesser-known aspect—the maritime stakes for Saudi Arabia and the UAE—will need to be addressed for the best chance of a lasting peace agreement.