Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
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Today’s policymakers understand the power of networks but need more guidance on how to build and employ them as tools of competition in a contested world rather than a world of open borders and markets.
One of America’s greatest assets is the attractiveness of participating in its economy; that strength should be used to good strategic effect.
Twentieth-century American intellectual Reinhold Niebuhr offers a classic critique of American exceptionalism that is as relevant today as it was when he wrote it during the Cold War.
Many in Congress have come to the conclusion that tougher sanctions on Russia are in order. Their activism can serve as a useful check on the Trump administration but, ideally, should not undermine unity with key U.S. allies.
Trump could either seek to enhance the United States’ position in the current international order or pursue U.S. interests defined in more narrow, neo-mercantile terms.
Russia faces bleak economic prospects for the next few years. It may be a case of managed decline in which the government appeases social and political demands by tapping the big reserves it accumulated during the boom years with oil and gas exports. But there is also a smaller possibility of a more serious economic breakdown or collapse.
China’s economy is in for a bumpy ride. But if Chinese leaders implement the right macroeconomic policies and structural reforms, the challenges should be manageable.