Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
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The Taliban are back in power in Afghanistan. How will they deal with the other Islamic extremist groups that have mushroomed in the region since the Taliban were last in charge?
Pakistan’s military leaders may see the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan as a net win, but their cynical, realpolitik support for the Taliban is not risk-free.
In the past year, Beijing has become more diplomatically engaged with Afghanistan, raising the potential for China to play a helpful role in Afghanistan’s future economic and security prospects.
It is important to take a sober look at the time bombs U.S. policy may be planting in Afghanistan, and to engage in rigorous planning to mitigate the potential damage.
U.S. policy toward Pakistan may have had the unintended effect of empowering Pakistan’s military and intelligence services at the expense of the country’s political future.
Confronting the global challenges in 2011, from the ongoing war in Afghanistan and a rising China to continuing international economic turmoil, will require an understanding how much has changed and the extent to which the center of gravity in global power has shifted.
The best hope for exiting the war in Afghanistan is to Afghanize the conflict and establish a coalition government that includes Taliban leaders.
While the United States has no choice but to deal with Karzai, the Afghan leader’s power is falling and the coalition’s military strategy is at an impasse.
As the United States unveils a new Afghanistan strategy and announces an increase in troop levels, the prospects for finishing the job and ending the conflict still remain unclear.
The Taliban are mostly local, accepted by the Afghan population. Most are basically farmers. They know what they stand for, and they view the foreigners as a threat to their families and their values.