Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
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Although the geopolitical rationale for the arrangement is understandable, the parties have failed to come to terms with its core problems.
Seven years after the UK’s decision to leave the European Union, polls show a change in mood owing to economic, political, and demographic reasons. But negotiations to rejoin the EU would be tough and lengthy.
Although polls give Labour a firm lead in the next UK general election, the local election in May will be an important indicator of the public mood.
Nicola Sturgeon’s resignation as Scotland’s first minister could affect the next election in the UK. If the SNP starts to lose support as a result of her departure, Labour may gain an advantage in the general election.
If the smaller parties in the UK manage to take enough votes away from both Labour and the Tories, they could have a big impact on how much power the next government can wield. But all in all, the socialists might have the most to lose.
Polls in the UK show a significant gap between the popularity of the Tories’ new leader, Rishi Sunak, and trust in the conservatives. To compete with Labour in the next election, the primer minister must overcome the voters’ deep contempt for his party.
Perhaps the prime minister is simply trying to create a new and bold impression with these kinds of moves. But such an impression will come at a great cost to British interests, and bring no benefits at all. On a cross-party basis, we urgently need a unified course correction before irrevocable damage is done.
Former chancellor Rishi Sunak has become the new UK prime minister. If he manages to win respect from both the voters and the markets, Labour’s current advantage in the polls may come into question.
The European Political Community aims to draw EU’s neighbors into its orbit while leaving enough room to accelerate European integration. Doubts remain over the new platform’s ability to overcome the harsh political realities that sunk similar initiatives over the years.
It is very likely that the Tories will be kicked out of power at the next election. What is far from certain is whether Labour will win a big enough majority to last a full five-year parliament.