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For the Russian economic and political system, as well as for the country’s foreign relations, the current economic crisis is an existential one. Russia will exit from it in a very different form from what it is today.
It is arguable that the United States has never faced fewer major rivals—rivals capable of existential threats or forcing strategic realignment—and, even among those atop that list, it is clear their intentions are not likely to manifest themselves in the form of conflict or attack in the near future.
For over two decades, no one in the West felt the need for regulating Russia’s relations with NATO. The lesson of the Napoleonic wars about the need to integrate a former adversary—which was forgotten after WWI—has been forgotten again.
The argument that rising debt levels indicate that China’s economy is about to collapse is unfounded. Still, more aggressive economic reforms are needed to ensure China’s long-term financial stability.
Despite Modi’s claim to Vajpayee’s strategic legacy, the latter’s understanding of the subcontinent’s past and his vision for the region’s future appear to have little resonance within the BJP and RSS.
A relaunch of U.S.-India relations may affect the U.S.-Pakistan equation.
To allay neighboring countries’ misgivings about Beijing’s growing assertiveness, China must match its verbal commitment to harmony and win-win collaboration with concrete actions.
India needs to deepen its military security cooperation in the Indian Ocean with the United States and France and initiate a maritime security dialogue with China.
To maintain the current strength of the U.S.-Japan alliance there is no substitute for continued leadership interaction, as well as public discussions about why this bilateral relationship is important and the positive benefits it offers to both countries.
As the Arab Spring approaches its fourth anniversary, the Arab world generally is at risk of heading towards a future without politics.