Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
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While the Trump administration is consumed with the coronavirus, China and North Korea are seizing the moment for strategic advantage.
The stakes for South Korean President Moon Jae-in could not have been higher when U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un met in Hanoi in February 2019. The delicate relationship between Trump and Moon provides important context for their upcoming meeting on Thursday, April 11.
U.S. President Donald Trump meets North Korean leader Kim Jong-un in Hanoi this week. What do Washington, Pyongyang, Beijing, and others hope to see accomplished at the summit? Three Carnegie experts weigh in.
Will South Korea’s president be able to create peace with his quarrelsome northern neighbor, or will he stumble over economic weaknesses at home?
Whatever the outcome, the June 12 Trump-Kim summit will have major implications for the region’s security landscape.
The upcoming 19th Party Congress and top political appointments will determine what course China will take in the future under President Xi Jinping’s leadership.
A communiqué issued by Pyongyang and Seoul to de-escalate tensions could pave the way for improved inter-Korean relations. But the real negotiations are just beginning.
Ideally, the parties will be able to return to the Six-Party Talks framework one day with all countries genuinely working toward the central goal of North Korea’s denuclearization. But the prospect of that happening anytime soon looks increasingly remote.
Countries in the region should not allow territorial disputes and historical issues to get in the way of solving the shared problem of North Korea and its nuclear program.
Although tensions are mounting on the Korean peninsula, China is unlikely to fundamentally alter its North Korea policy.