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The demonstrations may be larger this time, but Egyptian society is far more divided than it was during the revolution two years ago. It is essential for the transition to be inclusive.
As sectarian strife embroils the Middle East in conflict and the United States gradually withdraws from the area, it is time for China to start pulling its weight on issues of regional stability.
The Saudi royal family’s current strategy of using co-optive and repressive techniques to hold onto power will not always be enough to limit the population’s calls for change.
A two-state solution will soon be impossible. Despite the difficulties, the United States needs to make a major effort to find a solution—the costs of waiting are much too great.
Egypt’s president and military are working together and seem firmly in control. But Morsi’s recent personnel and constitutional moves greatly enhance the presidency’s power.
Prospects for Syria look bleak, with conflict continuing to intensify in Damascus, Aleppo, and other parts of the country and the international community struggling to find a way to halt the violence.
While Libya still faces major challenges and will need to answer essential questions about the role of religion and regional autonomy as its new leaders write a constitution, it is safe to be relatively optimistic about its future.
Reform in Bahrain is at an impasse with internal divisions within both the ruling family and opposition, and the resumption of U.S. weapons sales to Bahrain did not help Washington’s capacity to push change in the right direction.
Islamists did not fare well in the Algerian parliamentary elections, despite the rise of Islamist parties in Egypt and Tunisia, because the main Islamist party is still banned and Algerians are scarred by the memories of the country’s civil war.
While Lebanon is not currently headed toward a widespread collapse, regional players and the international community must recognize the danger of using Lebanon as a proxy battle for another Arab country.