Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
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Not all observers of Ukraine's "Orange Revolution" are pleased. Instead of democracy's advance, some see a U.S.-orchestrated conspiracy to undermine Ukrainian sovereignty, weaken Russia's sphere of influence, and expand Washington's imperial reach. However, others point to the combination of a weak, divided, and corrupt regime and a united, mobilized, and highly motivated opposition.
Whoever wins the Ukrainian election, Russian president Vladimir Putin is a clear loser. Putin has suffered a serious setback because of the way he tried to deal with his most important neighbor. Putin's behavior has weakened Russia's influence in strategic Ukraine and damaged the Russian president's reputation in the West.
Ukraine poses a challenge for the West, for Russia and for the entire post-Soviet zone. Depending on events, a group of transitional societies - Russia among them - will either be pushed toward new transformations or will try to seal themselves up in their current condition. So, what are the challenges?
Americans are generally skeptical of or indifferent to the EU. They shouldn't be. The U.S. has an important interest in the direction the EU takes in coming years.
