Content Syndicationhttps://carnegieendowment.org/rss/?fa=rss https://carnegieendowment.org/rss/solr/?fa=feeds http://profile.ak.fbcdn.net/hprofile-ak-snc4/174859_62935143720_1836682_n.jpg Tuesday, 28 Mar 2023 02:06:05 EST https://carnegieendowment.org/publications/89394?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss The fate of Belarus as a state is becoming increasingly tied to the outcome of a future peace settlement. It will be hard for any subsequent government in Minsk to distance itself from Russia economically and politically of its own accord. But once Belarus starts hosting Russian nuclear weapons, it will be downright impossible. | Русский]]> https://carnegieendowment.org/publications/89394?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tuesday, 28 Mar 2023 02:06:05 EST Belarus, Eastern Europe, Foreign Policy, Russian Foreign Policy https://carnegieendowment.org/publications/89202?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss There has never been such a gaping chasm between Lukashenko's foreign policy ambitions and Minsk's sheer irrelevance in the eyes of those whose attention he seeks. | Русский]]> https://carnegieendowment.org/publications/89202?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Friday, 03 Mar 2023 05:53:33 EST Belarus, Eastern Europe https://carnegieendowment.org/publications/88508?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Even before Makei's sudden death, it was hard to see how Minsk could ever return to its multi-vector foreign policy as long as Lukashenko remains in power, not to mention while the fighting rages in Ukraine. | Русский]]> https://carnegieendowment.org/publications/88508?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tuesday, 29 Nov 2022 05:44:55 EST Belarus, Eastern Europe https://carnegieendowment.org/publications/88249?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss The deployment clearly marks the continued erosion of Belarus's sovereignty, which the country's neighbors increasingly consider the new normal. | Русский]]> https://carnegieendowment.org/publications/88249?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tuesday, 25 Oct 2022 04:38:34 EST Belarus, Eastern Europe, Russia, Foreign Policy, Russian Foreign Policy https://carnegieendowment.org/publications/87140?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Even if Lukashenko gets serious about attempting a new balancing act, he will first have to earn the right to be heard. | Русский]]> https://carnegieendowment.org/publications/87140?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tuesday, 17 May 2022 03:48:54 EST Belarus, Eastern Europe, Russia, Foreign Policy https://carnegie.ru/commentary/86430?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss If there was once speculation about how the Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko would act in the event of a major regional conflict, that is no longer the case. Belarusian territory is simply a staging area for the Russian army, and the extent of the threat from Belarus is determined by one factor alone: how keen the Kremlin is to go to war. | Русский]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/86430?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Monday, 14 Feb 2022 06:48:49 EST Belarus, Eastern Europe https://carnegie.ru/commentary/85944?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Lukashenko will have to provide Moscow with constant reminders of his loyalty, and following his recognition of Crimea, there are few options left for further rhetorical and symbolic concessions. | Русский]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/85944?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wednesday, 08 Dec 2021 04:23:02 EST Belarus, Eastern Europe https://carnegie.ru/commentary/85144?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Not so long ago, Minsk scored foreign policy points by positioning itself as a force for regional stability; a counterbalance to an aggressive Russia. Today, Moscow's unwillingness to get embroiled in conflicts with NATO at the whim of its ally could be the only factor exercising any restraint on Lukashenko. | Русский]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/85144?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thursday, 12 Aug 2021 04:54:03 EST Belarus, Eastern Europe https://carnegie.ru/commentary/84933?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss If Moscow and the West manage to de-escalate their confrontation, Lukashenko's main currency-his demonstrative anti-Western stance-will be devalued in the eyes of the Kremlin. | Русский]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/84933?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Friday, 09 Jul 2021 04:57:06 EST Carnegie Moscow, Relaunching U.S.-Russia Dialogue on Global Challenges: The Role of the Next Generation, Belarus, Eastern Europe https://carnegie.ru/commentary/84688?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss “Repression is spreading like gas in a room: as long as there's space there, it's going to expand.” What do the latest developments in Belarus mean for the country's future?]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/84688?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Friday, 04 Jun 2021 10:00:57 EST https://carnegie.ru/commentary/84627?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Russia is the only country that can truly influence the behavior of the Belarusian regime, so it's only a matter of time before Western pressure is transferred from Minsk to Moscow. | Русский]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/84627?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thursday, 27 May 2021 04:36:09 EST Belarus, Eastern Europe https://carnegie.ru/commentary/84586?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss The Belarusian regime has backed itself into a corner, and is now scared to ease up the pressure, fearing that if angry people are given more freedom, there could be a repetition of last August's sweeping protests. | Русский]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/84586?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Friday, 21 May 2021 04:57:06 EST Belarus, Eastern Europe https://carnegie.ru/commentary/83882?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Moscow faces the question of how to respond to procrastination over reform in Belarus. On the one hand, it might seem that the crisis there has passed, leaving no leverage over Lukashenko. On the other hand, he is going to need more money. | Русский]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/83882?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tuesday, 16 Feb 2021 05:02:07 EST Carnegie Moscow, Relaunching U.S.-Russia Dialogue on Global Challenges: The Role of the Next Generation https://carnegie.ru/commentary/83459?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Russia's association with Lukashenko's crackdown may persuade Belarusians that it is impossible to be a pro-Russian democrat: that one can only be one or the other. Support for authoritarianism is going out of fashion in Belarus; pro-Russianness may, too. | Русский]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/83459?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wednesday, 16 Dec 2020 03:41:13 EST Carnegie Moscow, Relaunching U.S.-Russia Dialogue on Global Challenges: The Role of the Next Generation https://carnegie.ru/commentary/83247?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss In the event of a managed transition of power in the next year or so, it's military men who will supervise that transition and help to select a successor-who looks increasingly likely to be one of them. | Русский]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/83247?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tuesday, 17 Nov 2020 04:47:22 EST https://carnegie.ru/commentary/82715?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss From an overripe apple that looked sure to drop into Moscow's lap all on its own, the Belarusian regime is increasingly coming to resemble a toxic asset that's as difficult to engage with as it is to get rid of. | Русский]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/82715?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wednesday, 16 Sep 2020 07:42:32 EST https://carnegie.ru/commentary/82473?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss It's not yet clear how the country will emerge from this political crisis, but it's safe to say things won't go back to the way they were. | Русский]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/82473?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thursday, 13 Aug 2020 05:07:47 EST https://carnegie.ru/commentary/82417?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Whatever the truth behind the arrests of alleged Russian mercenaries in Belarus, the incident cannot fail to exacerbate the main problem in the relationship between Minsk and Moscow: a protracted crisis of trust. | Русский]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/82417?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tuesday, 04 Aug 2020 04:49:24 EST https://carnegie.ru/commentary/82417?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Belarus and Russia have come to a point when the old way of managing their relationship no longer works, but no new arrangement has been invented to replace it. This is an uncomfortable and unstable situation between the two countries that officially make up a union state.]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/82417?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wednesday, 08 Jul 2020 08:21:42 EST https://carnegie.ru/commentary/82245?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Belarus is moving toward a new geopolitical identity. Instead of its status as a peacekeeper between East and West, Minsk may soon find that it lacks a good relationship with either side. | Русский]]> https://carnegie.ru/commentary/82245?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Monday, 06 Jul 2020 05:13:44 EST